How We Know Hamas’ Casualty Numbers Are Fake: A Fireside Chat With Abraham Wyner, Professor Of Statistics At The Wharton School Of Business (University Of Pennsylvania)

April 25, 2024

It’s a claim that is taken almost as an unassailable truth by a huge number of news media outlets around the world: that some 33,000 people died in Gaza, and that two-thirds of them are women and children.

While the source of that claim is Hamas, and its “Gaza Ministry of Health,” which doesn’t distinguish between civilians and combatants, or those killed by Israel or by errant Palestinian rockets, there is an even more fundamental way to recognize the data is unreliable: by statistics.

Abraham Wyner, a professor of Statistics and Data Science at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania, recently penned a report where he pointed out that Hamas’ casualty numbers don’t add up, just from a statistical perspective, rendering them extraordinarily unlikely to be true.

Professor Wyner joins us as a guest to walk us through his research showing how statistics have shown Hamas’ claims to be propaganda.

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